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Red118
373540.5
45725.7
526124.3
Blue76
556612.6
35165.4
541534.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions823405010015020011876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.0
37.239.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 6.5
5415
#15
34.01.6
28.129.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Second
457
#19
25.72.0
23.825.8
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 13.2
5566
#47
12.62.7
12.114.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
5261
#20
24.33.4
16.720.1
Auto1.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 19.0
3516
#50
5.41.6
2.84.4
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0