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Red38
372811.1
258745.3
50706.3
Blue81
396115.8
458910.8
347840.2
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52490204060801003881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.7
38.237.5
Auto0.2
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 5.1
3478
#13
40.21.4
37.238.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
3728
#53
11.11.2
6.65.4
Auto-1.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 4.6
3961
#27
15.81.4
10.011.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
5070
#54
6.31.2
7.46.2
Auto0.0
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4589
#48
10.82.4
5.17.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0