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Red154
458743.3
473115.5
23140.7
Blue86
310331.6
546915.3
355629.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7573608010012014015486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.33.8
32.135.9
Auto0.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
red by 11.7
3103
#17
31.60.5
28.228.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
231
#8
40.73.8
36.540.3
Auto0.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 10.9
3556
#11
29.70.5
30.430.9
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
4731
#43
15.53.8
9.012.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 0.2
5469
#28
15.30.5
17.718.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.7
End0.0