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Red5
372811.1
302819.0
541411.2
Blue66
233323.5
288130.2
359323.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1876050100150200566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3028
#30
19.01.9
11.09.1
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 11.3
30.20.2
14.214.0
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
5414
#51
11.24.6
11.26.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 12.3
2333
#49
23.50.2
24.724.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
3728
#53
11.11.9
8.46.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 12.3
3593
#35
23.40.2
30.830.5
Auto0.2
Teleop23.2
End0.0