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Red28
288218.8
541534.0
541618.1
Blue0
407614.5
399111.5
396115.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5914050100150280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5415
#15
34.01.4
27.025.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 18.3
3961
#27
15.81.0
9.78.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
2882
#26
18.82.2
10.48.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 4.3
4076
#23
14.50.9
4.73.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
5416
#29
18.11.7
16.614.8
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 6.6
3991
#45
11.51.0
6.85.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0