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Qual 102015 Lone Star Regional
Red202
373540.5
463917.7
118110.2
Blue100
383418.6
361238.6
258745.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13164050100150200250202100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
110.23.8
85.7→89.6
Auto12.1
Teleop98.1
End0.0
red by 64.9
2587
#6
45.31.4
33.9→35.3
Auto0.2
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
3735
#5
40.53.8
29.9→33.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 1.9
3612
#10
38.61.3
31.7→33.0
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Third
4639
#14
17.74.7
9.6→14.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3834
#44
18.61.9
11.2→13.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0