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Red84
557221.2
461013.2
458743.3
Blue62
333525.4
23140.7
164211.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5249203040607080908462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.9
19.521.4
Auto0.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
231
#8
40.70.7
31.432.0
Auto0.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
5572
#42
21.21.9
23.425.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 4.2
25.40.7
15.315.9
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
4610
#41
13.21.9
10.612.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 1.9
1642
#21
11.20.6
4.75.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.7
End0.0