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Red52
485225.7
265721.4
457014.3
Blue80
57839.1
406332.9
471717.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293701001502002503003504005280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4852
#18
25.71.7
9.811.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 7.1
32.92.1
21.023.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
2657
#21
21.41.7
11.413.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
4717
#24
17.03.6
7.511.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
4570
#37
14.31.7
9.811.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
5783
#38
9.13.0
9.112.1
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0