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Red97
246860.5
545422.3
366613.6
Blue92
440340.7
64714.2
348134.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69390501001509792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.52.4
41.043.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.6
End0.0
red by 19.8
40.72.6
20.523.1
Auto0.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
5454
#16
22.32.9
12.815.8
Auto1.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 12.3
34.52.4
15.918.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Third
3666
#32
13.64.0
12.916.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
647
#29
14.22.9
8.511.4
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0