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Red25
281518.1
469417.4
362625.8
Blue59
532013.7
47987.7
216430.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373002060802559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3626
#12
25.80.5
11.511.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 4.9
2164
#11
30.61.5
17.218.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
2815
#28
18.10.4
14.514.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
5320
#34
13.72.2
8.610.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
4694
#30
17.40.5
10.910.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 9.7
4798
#44
7.72.2
6.68.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0