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Red77
373529.9
64714.2
284828.4
Blue106
215834.6
545422.3
415323.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61440208010012014016077106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#23
29.90.9
30.831.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 4.6
34.63.5
21.024.5
Auto0.0
Teleop34.6
End0.0
Second
2848
#15
28.40.9
18.419.3
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 5.3
4153
#14
23.23.2
11.614.8
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
647
#29
14.20.9
11.412.3
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5454
#16
22.33.2
15.819.0
Auto1.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0