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Red29
578011.3
341719.6
577123.1
Blue0
436423.4
366613.6
457014.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17570100150200290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5771
#26
23.10.4
8.28.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4364
#25
23.42.6
23.921.3
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
3417
#19
19.60.4
9.39.8
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 5.3
4570
#37
14.33.9
11.57.7
Auto0.4
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
5780
#40
11.30.4
6.26.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 2.2
3666
#32
13.63.9
16.913.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0