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Red88
485225.7
300533.2
430027.4
Blue84
241039.8
265721.4
47349.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53535055606570808884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#10
33.22.2
21.123.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 6.6
39.81.6
33.034.6
Auto0.5
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Second
4300
#17
27.42.2
22.324.5
Auto1.0
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 6.0
2657
#21
21.42.4
13.215.6
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4852
#18
25.73.3
11.614.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 16.6
4734
#43
9.11.8
8.710.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0