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Red8
336610.6
304318.9
545422.3
Blue90
430124.2
41838.0
331046.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42630100150200250890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#16
22.31.9
19.017.1
Auto1.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 24.4
46.61.7
29.531.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
3043
#22
18.92.3
13.711.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 19.2
418
#5
38.01.9
24.726.7
Auto0.7
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Third
3366
#41
10.62.3
13.711.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 13.7
4301
#13
24.22.9
7.310.1
Auto1.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0