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Red54
216430.6
469417.4
48429.8
Blue66
436423.4
415323.2
406332.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31630501001502005466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2164
#11
30.60.9
18.619.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
32.90.3
24.224.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
4694
#30
17.41.4
10.411.9
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 6.0
4364
#25
23.40.3
21.321.6
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4842
#35
9.80.9
7.98.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 13.3
4153
#14
23.20.3
14.815.1
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0