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Red10
47349.1
174511.1
471717.0
Blue49
265721.4
215834.6
366613.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305501001502002501049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4717
#24
17.02.1
12.09.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 17.6
34.60.2
24.524.2
Auto0.0
Teleop34.6
End0.0
Second
1745
#39
11.12.1
12.710.6
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 10.3
2657
#21
21.40.3
15.615.3
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4734
#43
9.11.4
10.59.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
3666
#32
13.60.3
13.112.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0