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Red113
52127.2
430124.2
241039.8
Blue52
485225.7
578011.3
304318.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5827020408010012014011352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.82.9
34.637.5
Auto0.5
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 14.0
4852
#18
25.71.6
14.816.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
4301
#13
24.24.8
10.114.9
Auto1.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 5.4
3043
#22
18.91.1
11.412.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
5212
#42
7.22.9
10.713.6
Auto0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5780
#40
11.31.6
6.78.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0