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Red76
284828.4
300533.2
181740.1
Blue52
216430.6
341719.6
436423.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774301001502007652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.4
32.633.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.4
End0.0
red by 9.5
2164
#11
30.60.1
19.519.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
3005
#10
33.20.4
22.322.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 9.8
4364
#25
23.40.1
21.621.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
2848
#15
28.40.4
19.419.8
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 8.8
3417
#19
19.60.2
8.38.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0