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Red6
57839.1
373529.9
116412.9
Blue40
457014.3
469417.4
430027.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6239050100150640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#23
29.92.7
30.828.1
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 2.6
4300
#17
27.40.2
24.524.3
Auto1.0
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
1164
#33
12.94.6
16.912.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4694
#30
17.40.4
11.911.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5783
#38
9.14.6
13.18.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4570
#37
14.30.4
7.97.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.0
End0.0