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Red18
354518.7
577123.1
47349.1
Blue18
47987.7
415323.2
430124.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3736202530404550551818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5771
#26
23.11.7
11.09.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4301
#13
24.21.6
14.913.3
Auto1.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
3545
#27
18.71.7
18.216.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4153
#14
23.21.0
15.114.1
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4734
#43
9.11.0
9.18.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 1.5
4798
#44
7.71.6
7.76.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0