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Red40
545422.3
541715.5
64714.2
Blue35
48429.8
485225.7
479914.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452702060801001201404035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#16
22.30.2
17.116.9
Auto1.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 3.5
4852
#18
25.70.3
16.416.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
5417
#31
15.50.2
15.014.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 1.1
4799
#36
14.50.3
5.86.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
647
#29
14.20.2
11.311.2
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 4.4
4842
#35
9.80.2
8.89.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0