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Red121
331046.6
440340.7
304318.9
Blue55
215834.6
300533.2
373529.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73702040608010012014012155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.62.4
31.233.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 12.1
34.61.0
24.223.2
Auto0.0
Teleop34.6
End0.0
Second
40.72.4
27.029.4
Auto0.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 7.5
3005
#10
33.21.0
22.721.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Third
3043
#22
18.92.4
14.817.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 11.1
3735
#23
29.91.0
28.127.1
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0