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Red90
64714.2
479914.5
430027.4
Blue20
430124.2
174511.1
362625.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413810203050607080909020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4300
#17
27.42.4
24.326.7
Auto1.0
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 1.6
3626
#12
25.81.6
12.711.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
4799
#36
14.54.0
6.110.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 9.8
4301
#13
24.21.6
13.311.7
Auto1.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
647
#29
14.22.4
11.213.6
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 3.1
1745
#39
11.11.6
13.511.9
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0