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Red62
341719.6
284828.4
354518.7
Blue4
52127.2
265721.4
48429.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4533020406080100120624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#15
28.40.9
19.820.6
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 7.0
2657
#21
21.42.7
14.211.6
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
3417
#19
19.61.4
8.610.0
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 9.8
4842
#35
9.81.6
9.07.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
3545
#27
18.71.4
16.517.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 11.5
5212
#42
7.21.6
12.711.1
Auto0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.0