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Red84
406332.9
469417.4
541715.5
Blue93
545422.3
561320.8
47349.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552902040801001201408493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.6
26.628.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 10.6
5454
#16
22.32.9
16.919.8
Auto1.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
4694
#30
17.42.6
11.514.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5613
#20
20.84.9
9.314.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
5417
#31
15.51.6
14.916.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 6.4
4734
#43
9.12.9
8.111.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0