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Red10
47349.1
532013.7
52127.2
Blue99
284828.4
331046.6
577123.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32690501001502001099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5320
#34
13.72.4
16.614.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 33.0
46.61.7
33.935.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
4734
#43
9.11.4
11.09.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 19.3
2848
#15
28.41.7
20.622.3
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
5212
#42
7.21.4
11.19.6
Auto0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 15.9
5771
#26
23.12.8
11.314.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0