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Red10
47987.7
457014.3
174511.1
Blue102
300533.2
440340.7
561320.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247005010015020010102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4570
#37
14.31.8
7.96.1
Auto0.4
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 26.3
40.72.1
29.431.5
Auto0.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
1745
#39
11.11.8
11.910.0
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 22.1
3005
#10
33.22.1
21.723.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Third
4798
#44
7.71.8
12.210.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 13.2
5613
#20
20.83.6
14.217.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0