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Red91
545422.3
362625.8
479914.5
Blue80
436423.4
215834.6
57839.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36620501001502002509180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3626
#12
25.84.2
11.115.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 8.8
34.61.0
26.927.9
Auto0.0
Teleop34.6
End0.0
Second
5454
#16
22.32.5
19.822.3
Auto1.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4364
#25
23.41.0
21.422.4
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4799
#36
14.54.2
10.114.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 5.3
5783
#38
9.11.6
12.213.8
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0