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Red30
415323.2
366613.6
541715.5
Blue44
406332.9
116412.9
578011.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801003044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#14
23.20.8
16.315.5
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 9.7
32.90.1
28.228.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
5417
#31
15.50.8
16.415.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
1164
#33
12.90.2
12.713.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
3666
#32
13.61.3
19.117.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 2.2
5780
#40
11.30.2
6.26.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0