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Red44
415323.2
341719.6
174511.1
Blue70
281518.1
331046.6
241039.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17830501001502002504470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#14
23.21.0
10.611.6
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 23.5
46.60.3
27.227.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
3417
#19
19.61.3
8.09.3
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 20.1
39.80.3
33.433.0
Auto0.5
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
1745
#39
11.11.3
9.310.7
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 7.1
2815
#28
18.10.4
14.914.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0