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Red52
354518.7
48429.8
215834.6
Blue34
116412.9
430027.4
532013.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060805234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.6
20.321.0
Auto0.0
Teleop34.6
End0.0
red by 7.2
4300
#17
27.40.6
22.922.3
Auto1.0
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
3545
#27
18.70.8
14.715.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 5.1
5320
#34
13.70.8
9.48.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
4842
#35
9.80.5
7.68.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 3.1
1164
#33
12.90.8
11.410.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0