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Red8
479914.5
304318.9
47987.7
Blue20
216430.6
578011.3
284828.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26490100150200820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3043
#22
18.91.5
15.213.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 11.8
2164
#11
30.61.7
18.817.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
4799
#36
14.51.9
7.05.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 14.0
2848
#15
28.41.7
20.118.4
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
4798
#44
7.71.9
8.46.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 3.7
5780
#40
11.35.1
11.36.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0