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Red137
246860.5
304318.9
216430.6
Blue52
485225.7
354518.7
336610.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9144015020013752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.52.5
47.650.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.6
End0.0
red by 34.7
4852
#18
25.70.1
20.420.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
2164
#11
30.62.5
21.824.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 11.9
3545
#27
18.70.1
17.917.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
3043
#22
18.92.5
17.219.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 8.3
3366
#41
10.60.1
14.814.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0