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Red59
561320.8
174511.1
215834.6
Blue124
415323.2
181740.1
577123.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5265010015020025030035040059124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.2
27.928.1
Auto0.0
Teleop34.6
End0.0
blue by 5.6
40.12.9
35.938.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
5613
#20
20.80.3
17.818.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4153
#14
23.22.9
15.518.5
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
1745
#39
11.10.3
10.010.3
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 12.0
5771
#26
23.14.9
14.018.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0