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Red40
52127.2
348134.5
373529.9
Blue23
436423.4
47987.7
541715.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644301001504023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.2
27.726.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 11.2
4364
#25
23.41.3
22.421.1
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
3735
#23
29.91.2
26.225.1
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 14.4
5417
#31
15.51.3
15.614.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
5212
#42
7.21.2
9.68.5
Auto0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4798
#44
7.72.1
10.48.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0