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Red34
485225.7
116412.9
545422.3
Blue33
304318.9
532013.7
300533.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56542040801001203433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4852
#18
25.71.8
20.318.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 7.4
3005
#10
33.21.2
23.922.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
5454
#16
22.31.1
22.321.2
Auto1.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
3043
#22
18.91.2
19.718.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
1164
#33
12.91.8
13.011.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5320
#34
13.72.1
14.312.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0