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Red55
336610.6
578011.3
41838.0
Blue8
479914.5
57839.1
354518.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51430206080100120558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#5
38.00.2
30.530.6
Auto0.7
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 19.3
3545
#27
18.73.2
17.814.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
5780
#40
11.30.3
6.46.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4799
#36
14.53.2
14.311.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
3366
#41
10.60.2
14.714.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
red by 1.4
5783
#38
9.13.2
13.810.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0