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Red37
241039.8
47987.7
64714.2
Blue77
48429.8
541715.5
181740.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585740455055657075803777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.2
39.137.9
Auto0.5
Teleop39.2
End0.0
blue by 0.4
40.10.9
38.839.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
647
#29
14.21.2
13.111.9
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5417
#31
15.50.9
14.415.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
4798
#44
7.71.8
8.36.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 2.2
4842
#35
9.80.9
6.57.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0