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Red114
485225.7
440340.7
406332.9
Blue46
336610.6
577123.1
281518.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8343010015020011446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.7
33.735.4
Auto0.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 17.6
5771
#26
23.10.3
18.918.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
32.91.7
27.128.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 14.7
2815
#28
18.10.2
16.616.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
4852
#18
25.72.7
18.521.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 15.2
3366
#41
10.60.2
14.914.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0