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Red46
436423.4
174511.1
532013.7
Blue106
545422.3
373529.9
41838.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358105010015020046106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4364
#25
23.40.1
21.121.2
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 14.6
418
#5
38.01.5
30.632.1
Auto0.7
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Second
5320
#34
13.70.2
12.212.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 16.3
3735
#23
29.91.5
25.126.5
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
1745
#39
11.10.2
10.310.5
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 11.2
5454
#16
22.31.5
21.222.7
Auto1.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0