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Red94
373529.9
578011.3
241039.8
Blue131
41838.0
281518.1
215834.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7876406010012094131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.8
40.841.6
Auto0.5
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 1.7
418
#5
38.02.6
33.135.6
Auto0.7
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Second
3735
#23
29.90.8
27.428.1
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 4.6
34.62.6
29.131.7
Auto0.0
Teleop34.6
End0.0
Third
5780
#40
11.31.0
10.711.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 6.8
2815
#28
18.12.6
17.720.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0