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Red130
57839.1
440340.7
532013.7
Blue136
216430.6
541715.5
331046.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47850100150200250130136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.73.7
38.241.9
Auto0.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
blue by 6.0
46.62.7
42.745.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
5320
#34
13.75.0
10.215.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 17.0
2164
#11
30.62.7
24.026.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
5783
#38
9.15.0
6.711.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
5417
#31
15.52.7
15.318.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0