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Red90
485225.7
577123.1
52127.2
Blue96
48429.8
415323.2
362625.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352204060801009096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4852
#18
25.72.5
26.428.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Level
3626
#12
25.82.7
25.327.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
5771
#26
23.12.5
18.721.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4153
#14
23.22.0
22.224.2
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5212
#42
7.21.9
7.59.3
Auto0.3
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 2.6
4842
#35
9.82.0
8.510.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0