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Red89
406332.9
284828.4
430124.2
Blue96
341719.6
265721.4
348134.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725802040801001201401608996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.8
28.229.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.9
End0.0
blue by 1.7
34.52.0
30.932.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Second
2848
#15
28.40.8
25.826.6
Auto1.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 7.0
2657
#21
21.42.7
15.518.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4301
#13
24.21.1
18.819.9
Auto1.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 4.6
3417
#19
19.62.7
15.718.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0