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Red61
304318.9
471717.0
430027.4
Blue96
436423.4
479914.5
246860.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618801502002503006196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4300
#17
27.40.0
32.432.4
Auto1.0
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 33.1
60.50.4
54.454.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.6
End0.0
Second
3043
#22
18.90.0
18.518.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4364
#25
23.40.4
22.122.5
Auto0.4
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4717
#24
17.00.1
16.916.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 2.5
4799
#36
14.50.6
10.511.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.5
End0.0