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Red70
171024.2
288130.2
546915.3
Blue56
65878.5
420613.3
70423.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73380501001507056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
Unranked
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 7.1
704
Unranked
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto0.9
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
1710
Unranked
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 10.9
4206
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
5469
Unranked
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 6.8
6587
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0