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Red20
1296B28.4
505716.6
436419.2
Blue100
384727.7
129656.7
27237.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5695015020025020100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296B
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 28.4
1296
Unranked
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
4364
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 8.5
3847
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
5057
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 9.2
2723
Unranked
7.40.0
7.47.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0