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Red20
384727.7
171024.2
1296B28.4
Blue88
65878.5
129656.7
541715.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79762040601001201402088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296B
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 28.4
1296
Unranked
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
3847
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 12.2
5417
Unranked
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
1710
Unranked
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 15.6
6587
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0