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Red78
258231.5
129656.7
258511.3
Blue59
399922.8
541641.1
65878.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102640501502007859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 15.6
41.10.0
41.141.1
Auto0.8
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Second
2582
#24
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
red by 8.7
3999
#14
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
2585
#20
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 2.8
6587
#21
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0