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Red4
384727.7
542717.8
Blue22
333525.4
288130.2
45725.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40860100150200250422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#15
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 2.5
2881
#23
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
5427
#16
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 7.9
457
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
3013B
Unranked
3.20.0
3.23.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.5
End0.0
blue by 22.2
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0